2025 Week 13 FINAL · Conference game
Florida State at NC State
Friday, November 21, 2025 · 7:00 PM CST
Carter-Finley Stadium
11
Florida State
Final
21
NC State
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 11 |
| NC State | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 21 |
GIE pre-game call: NC State at 54%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Florida State
ACC
- Record
- 5-7
- Rating
- 7.2
- National rank
- 41
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
NC State
ACC
- Record
- 8-5
- Rating
- 4.8
- National rank
- 55
- Proj. wins
- 7.0
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Florida State
46%
NC State
54%
NC State 90% CI: 45% – 63% Δ rating 2.4
NC State is the model's favorite at 54%. Florida State has a 46% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for NC State — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 21, 2025 · 7:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Carter-Finley Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No