4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

2025 Week 12 FINAL · Conference game

North Carolina at Wake Forest

Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 3:30 PM CST

Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium

12
North Carolina
Final
28
Wake Forest
Team 1234 T
North Carolina 0633 12
Wake Forest 7777 28

GIE pre-game call: Wake Forest at 86%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

North Carolina
ACC
Record
4-8
Rating
-6.6
National rank
91
Proj. wins
3.2
Playoff prob.
0%
Wake Forest
ACC
Record
9-4
Rating
5.7
National rank
52
Proj. wins
6.3
Playoff prob.
1%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

North Carolina
14%
Wake Forest
86%
Wake Forest 90% CI: 81% – 90% Δ rating 12.3

Wake Forest is the model's favorite at 86%. North Carolina has a 14% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Wake Forest — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 3:30 PM CST
Venue
Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

← Home