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2025 Week 12 FINAL · Conference game

NC State at Miami

Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 2:30 PM CST

Hard Rock Stadium

7
NC State
Final
41
Miami
Team 1234 T
NC State 0007 7
Miami 1014107 41

GIE pre-game call: Miami at 89%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

NC State
ACC
Record
8-5
Rating
4.8
National rank
55
Proj. wins
7.0
Playoff prob.
1%
Miami
ACC
Record
13-3
Rating
20.7
National rank
9
Proj. wins
9.4
Playoff prob.
61%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

NC State
11%
Miami
89%
Miami 90% CI: 85% – 92% Δ rating 15.9

Miami is the model's favorite at 89%. NC State has a 11% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.8 rating points baked in for Miami — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 2:30 PM CST
Venue
Hard Rock Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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