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2025 Week 11 FINAL · Conference game

Stanford at North Carolina

Saturday, November 8, 2025 · 3:30 PM CST

Kenan Stadium

15
Stanford
Final
20
North Carolina
Team 1234 T
Stanford 03012 15
North Carolina 30710 20

GIE pre-game call: North Carolina at 66%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Stanford
ACC
Record
4-8
Rating
-11.8
National rank
112
Proj. wins
2.6
Playoff prob.
0%
North Carolina
ACC
Record
4-8
Rating
-6.6
National rank
91
Proj. wins
3.2
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Stanford
34%
North Carolina
66%
North Carolina 90% CI: 57% – 74% Δ rating 5.2

North Carolina is the model's favorite at 66%. Stanford has a 34% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.1 rating points baked in for North Carolina — venue-specific learned value (n=52 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 8, 2025 · 3:30 PM CST
Venue
Kenan Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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