2025 Week 11 FINAL · Conference game
California at Louisville
Saturday, November 8, 2025 · 6:00 PM CST
L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
29
California
Final
26
Louisville
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California | 7 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 29 |
| Louisville | 7 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26 |
GIE pre-game call: Louisville at 92%. Miss.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
California
ACC
- Record
- 7-6
- Rating
- -3.2
- National rank
- 80
- Proj. wins
- 5.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Louisville
ACC
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 12.4
- National rank
- 25
- Proj. wins
- 7.8
- Playoff prob.
- 9%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
California
8%
Louisville
92%
Louisville 90% CI: 89% – 95% Δ rating 15.6
Louisville is the model's favorite at 92%. California has a 8% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.3 rating points baked in for Louisville — venue-specific learned value (n=58 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 8, 2025 · 6:00 PM CST
- Venue
- L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No