2025 Week 10 FINAL · Conference game
Miami at SMU
Saturday, November 1, 2025 · 11:00 AM CDT
Gerald J. Ford Stadium
20
Miami
Final
26
SMU
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20 |
| SMU | 0 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 26 |
GIE pre-game call: Miami at 57%. Miss.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Miami
ACC
- Record
- 13-3
- Rating
- 20.7
- National rank
- 9
- Proj. wins
- 9.4
- Playoff prob.
- 61%
SMU
ACC
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 13.4
- National rank
- 23
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 12%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Miami
57%
SMU
43%
SMU 90% CI: 34% – 52% Δ rating 7.3
Miami is the model's favorite at 57%. SMU has a 43% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.9 rating points baked in for SMU — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 1, 2025 · 11:00 AM CDT
- Venue
- Gerald J. Ford Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No