2025 Week 9 FINAL · Conference game
Virginia at North Carolina
Saturday, October 25, 2025 · 11:00 AM CDT
Kenan Stadium
17
Virginia
Final
16
North Carolina
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 |
| North Carolina | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 |
GIE pre-game call: Virginia at 90%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Virginia
ACC
- Record
- 11-3
- Rating
- 11.1
- National rank
- 31
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 9%
North Carolina
ACC
- Record
- 4-8
- Rating
- -6.6
- National rank
- 91
- Proj. wins
- 3.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Virginia
90%
North Carolina
10%
North Carolina 90% CI: 7% – 14% Δ rating 17.7
Virginia is the model's favorite at 90%. North Carolina has a 10% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.1 rating points baked in for North Carolina — venue-specific learned value (n=52 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 25, 2025 · 11:00 AM CDT
- Venue
- Kenan Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No