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2025 Week 8 FINAL · Conference game

Louisville at Miami

Friday, October 17, 2025 · 6:00 PM CDT

Hard Rock Stadium

24
Louisville
Final
21
Miami
Team 1234 T
Louisville 14037 24
Miami 7338 21

GIE pre-game call: Miami at 74%. Miss.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Louisville
ACC
Record
9-4
Rating
12.4
National rank
25
Proj. wins
7.8
Playoff prob.
9%
Miami
ACC
Record
13-3
Rating
20.7
National rank
9
Proj. wins
9.4
Playoff prob.
61%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Louisville
26%
Miami
74%
Miami 90% CI: 66% – 81% Δ rating 8.3

Miami is the model's favorite at 74%. Louisville has a 26% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.2 rating points baked in for Miami — venue-specific night-game value (n=57 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, October 17, 2025 · 6:00 PM CDT
Venue
Hard Rock Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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