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2025 Week 7 FINAL · Conference game

Pittsburgh at Florida State

Saturday, October 11, 2025 · 11:00 AM CDT

Doak Campbell Stadium

34
Pittsburgh
Final
31
Florida State
Team 1234 T
Pittsburgh 77713 34
Florida State 71437 31

GIE pre-game call: Florida State at 54%. Miss.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Pittsburgh
ACC
Record
8-5
Rating
8.4
National rank
36
Proj. wins
7.8
Playoff prob.
3%
Florida State
ACC
Record
5-7
Rating
7.2
National rank
41
Proj. wins
6.3
Playoff prob.
1%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Pittsburgh
46%
Florida State
54%
Florida State 90% CI: 45% – 63% Δ rating 1.2

Florida State is the model's favorite at 54%. Pittsburgh has a 46% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Florida State — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 11, 2025 · 11:00 AM CDT
Venue
Doak Campbell Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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