2025 Week 13 FINAL · Conference game
Michigan State at Iowa
Saturday, November 22, 2025 · 2:30 PM CST
Kinnick Stadium
17
Michigan State
Final
20
Iowa
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State | 0 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| Iowa | 7 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 20 |
GIE pre-game call: Iowa at 96%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Michigan State
Big Ten
- Record
- 4-8
- Rating
- -3.4
- National rank
- 82
- Proj. wins
- 4.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Iowa
Big Ten
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 19.7
- National rank
- 12
- Proj. wins
- 8.6
- Playoff prob.
- 47%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Michigan State
4%
Iowa
96%
Iowa 90% CI: 95% – 97% Δ rating 23.1
Iowa is the model's favorite at 96%. Michigan State has a 4% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.7 rating points baked in for Iowa — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 22, 2025 · 2:30 PM CST
- Venue
- Kinnick Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No