2025 Week 13 FINAL · Conference game
USC at Oregon
Saturday, November 22, 2025 · 2:30 PM CST
Autzen Stadium
27
USC
Final
42
Oregon
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 |
| Oregon | 14 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 42 |
GIE pre-game call: Oregon at 81%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
USC
Big Ten
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 16.9
- National rank
- 16
- Proj. wins
- 7.7
- Playoff prob.
- 17%
Oregon
Big Ten
- Record
- 13-2
- Rating
- 25.9
- National rank
- 4
- Proj. wins
- 9.3
- Playoff prob.
- 92%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
USC
19%
Oregon
81%
Oregon 90% CI: 74% – 86% Δ rating 9.0
Oregon is the model's favorite at 81%. USC has a 19% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Oregon — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 22, 2025 · 2:30 PM CST
- Venue
- Autzen Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No