2025 Week 12 FINAL · Conference game
Iowa at USC
Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 2:30 PM CST
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
21
Iowa
Final
26
USC
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa | 7 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
| USC | 0 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 26 |
GIE pre-game call: Iowa at 51%. Miss.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Iowa
Big Ten
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 19.7
- National rank
- 12
- Proj. wins
- 8.6
- Playoff prob.
- 47%
USC
Big Ten
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 16.9
- National rank
- 16
- Proj. wins
- 7.7
- Playoff prob.
- 17%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Iowa
51%
USC
49%
USC 90% CI: 40% – 58% Δ rating 2.8
Iowa is the model's favorite at 51%. USC has a 49% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for USC — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 2:30 PM CST
- Venue
- Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No