2025 Week 12 FINAL · Conference game
Penn State at Michigan State
Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 2:30 PM CST
Spartan Stadium
28
Penn State
Final
10
Michigan State
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penn State | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 28 |
| Michigan State | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
GIE pre-game call: Penn State at 93%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Penn State
Big Ten
- Record
- 7-6
- Rating
- 18.1
- National rank
- 15
- Proj. wins
- 9.0
- Playoff prob.
- 35%
Michigan State
Big Ten
- Record
- 4-8
- Rating
- -3.4
- National rank
- 82
- Proj. wins
- 4.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Penn State
93%
Michigan State
7%
Michigan State 90% CI: 5% – 9% Δ rating 21.5
Penn State is the model's favorite at 93%. Michigan State has a 7% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.4 rating points baked in for Michigan State — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 2:30 PM CST
- Venue
- Spartan Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No