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2025 Week 11 FINAL · Conference game

Oregon at Iowa

Saturday, November 8, 2025 · 2:30 PM CST

Kinnick Stadium

18
Oregon
Final
16
Iowa
Team 1234 T
Oregon 21033 18
Iowa 0709 16

GIE pre-game call: Oregon at 61%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Oregon
Big Ten
Record
13-2
Rating
25.9
National rank
4
Proj. wins
9.3
Playoff prob.
92%
Iowa
Big Ten
Record
9-4
Rating
19.7
National rank
12
Proj. wins
8.6
Playoff prob.
47%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Oregon
61%
Iowa
39%
Iowa 90% CI: 31% – 49% Δ rating 6.2

Oregon is the model's favorite at 61%. Iowa has a 39% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.7 rating points baked in for Iowa — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 8, 2025 · 2:30 PM CST
Venue
Kinnick Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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