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2025 Week 11 FINAL · Conference game

Indiana at Penn State

Saturday, November 8, 2025 · 11:00 AM CST

Beaver Stadium

27
Indiana
Final
24
Penn State
Team 1234 T
Indiana 71037 27
Penn State 07314 24

GIE pre-game call: Indiana at 82%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Indiana
Big Ten
Record
16-0
Rating
32.4
National rank
1
Proj. wins
10.1
Playoff prob.
100%
Penn State
Big Ten
Record
7-6
Rating
18.1
National rank
15
Proj. wins
9.0
Playoff prob.
35%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Indiana
82%
Penn State
18%
Penn State 90% CI: 13% – 24% Δ rating 14.3

Indiana is the model's favorite at 82%. Penn State has a 18% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.0 rating points baked in for Penn State — venue-specific learned value (n=65 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 8, 2025 · 11:00 AM CST
Venue
Beaver Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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