4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

2025 Week 10 FINAL · Conference game

Purdue at Michigan

Saturday, November 1, 2025 · 6:00 PM CDT

Michigan Stadium

16
Purdue
Final
21
Michigan
Team 1234 T
Purdue 0736 16
Michigan 7707 21

GIE pre-game call: Michigan at 90%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Purdue
Big Ten
Record
2-10
Rating
-6.1
National rank
90
Proj. wins
3.5
Playoff prob.
0%
Michigan
Big Ten
Record
9-4
Rating
12.4
National rank
25
Proj. wins
6.7
Playoff prob.
2%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Purdue
10%
Michigan
90%
Michigan 90% CI: 86% – 93% Δ rating 18.5

Michigan is the model's favorite at 90%. Purdue has a 10% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.7 rating points baked in for Michigan — venue-specific night-game value (n=67 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 1, 2025 · 6:00 PM CDT
Venue
Michigan Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

← Home