4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

2025 Week 10 FINAL · Conference game

Penn State at Ohio State

Saturday, November 1, 2025 · 11:00 AM CDT

Ohio Stadium

14
Penn State
Final
38
Ohio State
Team 1234 T
Penn State 01400 14
Ohio State 710147 38

GIE pre-game call: Ohio State at 89%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Penn State
Big Ten
Record
7-6
Rating
18.1
National rank
15
Proj. wins
9.0
Playoff prob.
35%
Ohio State
Big Ten
Record
12-2
Rating
30.1
National rank
2
Proj. wins
9.1
Playoff prob.
99%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Penn State
11%
Ohio State
89%
Ohio State 90% CI: 85% – 92% Δ rating 12.0

Ohio State is the model's favorite at 89%. Penn State has a 11% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.8 rating points baked in for Ohio State — venue-specific learned value (n=66 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 1, 2025 · 11:00 AM CDT
Venue
Ohio Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

← Home