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2025 Week 10 FINAL · Conference game

Michigan State at Minnesota

Saturday, November 1, 2025 · 2:30 PM CDT

Huntington Bank Stadium

20
Michigan State
Final
23
Minnesota
Team 1234OT T
Michigan State 007103 20
Minnesota 73076 23

GIE pre-game call: Minnesota at 67%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Michigan State
Big Ten
Record
4-8
Rating
-3.4
National rank
82
Proj. wins
4.2
Playoff prob.
0%
Minnesota
Big Ten
Record
8-5
Rating
1.5
National rank
70
Proj. wins
5.4
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Michigan State
33%
Minnesota
67%
Minnesota 90% CI: 59% – 75% Δ rating 4.9

Minnesota is the model's favorite at 67%. Michigan State has a 33% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.9 rating points baked in for Minnesota — venue-specific learned value (n=61 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 1, 2025 · 2:30 PM CDT
Venue
Huntington Bank Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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