2025 Week 9 FINAL · Conference game
Michigan at Michigan State
Saturday, October 25, 2025 · 6:30 PM CDT
Spartan Stadium
31
Michigan
Final
20
Michigan State
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan | 10 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 31 |
| Michigan State | 0 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 20 |
GIE pre-game call: Michigan at 78%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Michigan
Big Ten
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 12.4
- National rank
- 25
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
Michigan State
Big Ten
- Record
- 4-8
- Rating
- -3.4
- National rank
- 82
- Proj. wins
- 4.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Michigan
78%
Michigan State
22%
Michigan State 90% CI: 16% – 29% Δ rating 15.8
Michigan is the model's favorite at 78%. Michigan State has a 22% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.8 rating points baked in for Michigan State — venue-specific night-game value (n=59 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 25, 2025 · 6:30 PM CDT
- Venue
- Spartan Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No