2025 Week 8 FINAL · Conference game
Michigan State at Indiana
Saturday, October 18, 2025 · 2:30 PM CDT
Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
13
Michigan State
Final
38
Indiana
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State | 3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 13 |
| Indiana | 7 | 14 | 14 | 3 | 38 |
GIE pre-game call: Indiana at 99%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Michigan State
Big Ten
- Record
- 4-8
- Rating
- -3.4
- National rank
- 82
- Proj. wins
- 4.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Indiana
Big Ten
- Record
- 16-0
- Rating
- 32.4
- National rank
- 1
- Proj. wins
- 10.1
- Playoff prob.
- 100%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Michigan State
1%
Indiana
99%
Indiana 90% CI: 99% – 99% Δ rating 35.8
Indiana is the model's favorite at 99%. Michigan State has a 1% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Indiana — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 18, 2025 · 2:30 PM CDT
- Venue
- Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No