2025 Week 8 FINAL · Conference game
Penn State at Iowa
Saturday, October 18, 2025 · 6:00 PM CDT
Kinnick Stadium
24
Penn State
Final
25
Iowa
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penn State | 7 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 24 |
| Iowa | 3 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 25 |
GIE pre-game call: Iowa at 63%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Penn State
Big Ten
- Record
- 7-6
- Rating
- 18.1
- National rank
- 15
- Proj. wins
- 9.0
- Playoff prob.
- 35%
Iowa
Big Ten
- Record
- 9-4
- Rating
- 19.7
- National rank
- 12
- Proj. wins
- 8.6
- Playoff prob.
- 47%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Penn State
37%
Iowa
63%
Iowa 90% CI: 54% – 71% Δ rating 1.6
Iowa is the model's favorite at 63%. Penn State has a 37% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.7 rating points baked in for Iowa — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 18, 2025 · 6:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Kinnick Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No