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2025 Week 7 FINAL · Conference game

Michigan at USC

Saturday, October 11, 2025 · 6:30 PM CDT

Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

13
Michigan
Final
31
USC
Team 1234 T
Michigan 0706 13
USC 77710 31

GIE pre-game call: USC at 71%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Michigan
Big Ten
Record
9-4
Rating
12.4
National rank
25
Proj. wins
6.7
Playoff prob.
2%
USC
Big Ten
Record
9-4
Rating
16.9
National rank
16
Proj. wins
7.7
Playoff prob.
17%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Michigan
29%
USC
71%
USC 90% CI: 62% – 78% Δ rating 4.5

USC is the model's favorite at 71%. Michigan has a 29% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for USC — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 11, 2025 · 6:30 PM CDT
Venue
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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