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2025 Week 7 FINAL · Conference game

Northwestern at Penn State

Saturday, October 11, 2025 · 2:30 PM CDT

Beaver Stadium

22
Northwestern
Final
21
Penn State
Team 1234 T
Northwestern 31009 22
Penn State 01407 21

GIE pre-game call: Penn State at 86%. Miss.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Northwestern
Big Ten
Record
7-6
Rating
5.8
National rank
51
Proj. wins
5.2
Playoff prob.
0%
Penn State
Big Ten
Record
7-6
Rating
18.1
National rank
15
Proj. wins
9.0
Playoff prob.
35%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Northwestern
14%
Penn State
86%
Penn State 90% CI: 80% – 90% Δ rating 12.3

Penn State is the model's favorite at 86%. Northwestern has a 14% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.0 rating points baked in for Penn State — venue-specific learned value (n=65 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 11, 2025 · 2:30 PM CDT
Venue
Beaver Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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