4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

2025 Week 7 FINAL · Conference game

UCLA at Michigan State

Saturday, October 11, 2025 · 11:00 AM CDT

Spartan Stadium

38
UCLA
Final
13
Michigan State
Team 1234 T
UCLA 1014140 38
Michigan State 7006 13

GIE pre-game call: Michigan State at 67%. Miss.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

UCLA
Big Ten
Record
3-9
Rating
-8.7
National rank
98
Proj. wins
3.9
Playoff prob.
0%
Michigan State
Big Ten
Record
4-8
Rating
-3.4
National rank
82
Proj. wins
4.2
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

UCLA
33%
Michigan State
67%
Michigan State 90% CI: 58% – 75% Δ rating 5.3

Michigan State is the model's favorite at 67%. UCLA has a 33% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.4 rating points baked in for Michigan State — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 11, 2025 · 11:00 AM CDT
Venue
Spartan Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

← Home