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2025 Week 14 FINAL · Conference game

Ole Miss at Mississippi State

Friday, November 28, 2025 · 11:00 AM CST

Davis Wade Stadium

38
Ole Miss
Final
19
Mississippi State
Team 1234 T
Ole Miss 147314 38
Mississippi State 7336 19

GIE pre-game call: Ole Miss at 89%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Ole Miss
SEC
Record
13-2
Rating
24.0
National rank
7
Proj. wins
8.6
Playoff prob.
80%
Mississippi State
SEC
Record
5-8
Rating
4.1
National rank
58
Proj. wins
4.9
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Ole Miss
89%
Mississippi State
11%
Mississippi State 90% CI: 7% – 15% Δ rating 19.9

Ole Miss is the model's favorite at 89%. Mississippi State has a 11% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.8 rating points baked in for Mississippi State — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, November 28, 2025 · 11:00 AM CST
Venue
Davis Wade Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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