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2025 Week 14 FINAL

Florida State at Florida

Saturday, November 29, 2025 · 3:30 PM CST

Ben Hill Griffin Stadium

21
Florida State
Final
40
Florida
Team 1234 T
Florida State 01407 21
Florida 107149 40

GIE pre-game call: Florida State at 51%. Miss.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Florida State
ACC
Record
5-7
Rating
7.2
National rank
41
Proj. wins
6.3
Playoff prob.
1%
Florida
SEC
Record
4-8
Rating
3.5
National rank
63
Proj. wins
4.4
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Florida State
51%
Florida
49%
Florida 90% CI: 40% – 58% Δ rating 3.7

Florida State is the model's favorite at 51%. Florida has a 49% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Florida — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 29, 2025 · 3:30 PM CST
Venue
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No

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