2025 Week 12 FINAL
New Mexico State at Tennessee
Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 3:15 PM CST
Neyland Stadium
9
New Mexico State
Final
42
Tennessee
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| Tennessee | 14 | 7 | 21 | 0 | 42 |
GIE pre-game call: Tennessee at 98%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
New Mexico State
Conference USA
- Record
- 4-8
- Rating
- -15.5
- National rank
- 123
- Proj. wins
- 0.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Tennessee
SEC
- Record
- 8-5
- Rating
- 15.0
- National rank
- 19
- Proj. wins
- 7.3
- Playoff prob.
- 10%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
New Mexico State
2%
Tennessee
98%
Tennessee 90% CI: 97% – 99% Δ rating 30.5
Tennessee is the model's favorite at 98%. New Mexico State has a 2% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.2 rating points baked in for Tennessee — venue-specific learned value (n=61 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 3:15 PM CST
- Venue
- Neyland Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No