2025 Week 12 FINAL · Conference game
Mississippi State at Missouri
Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 6:45 PM CST
Memorial Stadium
27
Mississippi State
Final
49
Missouri
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State | 10 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 27 |
| Missouri | 14 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 49 |
GIE pre-game call: Missouri at 84%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Mississippi State
SEC
- Record
- 5-8
- Rating
- 4.1
- National rank
- 58
- Proj. wins
- 4.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Missouri
SEC
- Record
- 8-5
- Rating
- 14.4
- National rank
- 21
- Proj. wins
- 7.1
- Playoff prob.
- 7%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Mississippi State
16%
Missouri
84%
Missouri 90% CI: 78% – 88% Δ rating 10.3
Missouri is the model's favorite at 84%. Mississippi State has a 16% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for Missouri — venue-specific learned value (n=60 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 6:45 PM CST
- Venue
- Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No