2025 Week 12 FINAL · Conference game
Arkansas at LSU
Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 11:45 AM CST
Tiger Stadium (LA)
22
Arkansas
Final
23
LSU
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas | 14 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 22 |
| LSU | 0 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 23 |
GIE pre-game call: LSU at 74%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Arkansas
SEC
- Record
- 2-10
- Rating
- 5.1
- National rank
- 53
- Proj. wins
- 4.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
LSU
SEC
- Record
- 7-6
- Rating
- 10.3
- National rank
- 32
- Proj. wins
- 6.2
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Arkansas
26%
LSU
74%
LSU 90% CI: 66% – 80% Δ rating 5.2
LSU is the model's favorite at 74%. Arkansas has a 26% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for LSU — venue-specific learned value (n=58 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 15, 2025 · 11:45 AM CST
- Venue
- Tiger Stadium (LA)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No