2025 Week 10 FINAL · Conference game
Mississippi State at Arkansas
Saturday, November 1, 2025 · 3:00 PM CDT
Razorback Stadium
38
Mississippi State
Final
35
Arkansas
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State | 7 | 0 | 14 | 17 | 38 |
| Arkansas | 0 | 13 | 15 | 7 | 35 |
GIE pre-game call: Mississippi State at 52%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Mississippi State
SEC
- Record
- 5-8
- Rating
- 4.1
- National rank
- 58
- Proj. wins
- 4.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Arkansas
SEC
- Record
- 2-10
- Rating
- 5.1
- National rank
- 53
- Proj. wins
- 4.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Mississippi State
52%
Arkansas
48%
Arkansas 90% CI: 39% – 57% Δ rating 1.0
Mississippi State is the model's favorite at 52%. Arkansas has a 48% path. Home-field adjustment of +-1.7 rating points baked in for Arkansas — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 1, 2025 · 3:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Razorback Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No