2025 Week 9 FINAL · Conference game
Texas at Mississippi State
Saturday, October 25, 2025 · 3:15 PM CDT
Davis Wade Stadium
45
Texas
Final
38
Mississippi State
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas | 7 | 7 | 0 | 24 | 7 | 45 |
| Mississippi State | 7 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 38 |
GIE pre-game call: Texas at 76%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Texas
SEC
- Record
- 10-3
- Rating
- 16.2
- National rank
- 17
- Proj. wins
- 6.9
- Playoff prob.
- 15%
Mississippi State
SEC
- Record
- 5-8
- Rating
- 4.1
- National rank
- 58
- Proj. wins
- 4.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Texas
76%
Mississippi State
24%
Mississippi State 90% CI: 18% – 31% Δ rating 12.1
Texas is the model's favorite at 76%. Mississippi State has a 24% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.8 rating points baked in for Mississippi State — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 25, 2025 · 3:15 PM CDT
- Venue
- Davis Wade Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No