2025 Week 8 FINAL · Conference game
Mississippi State at Florida
Saturday, October 18, 2025 · 3:15 PM CDT
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
21
Mississippi State
Final
23
Florida
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 21 |
| Florida | 3 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 23 |
GIE pre-game call: Florida at 59%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
Mississippi State
SEC
- Record
- 5-8
- Rating
- 4.1
- National rank
- 58
- Proj. wins
- 4.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Florida
SEC
- Record
- 4-8
- Rating
- 3.5
- National rank
- 63
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Mississippi State
41%
Florida
59%
Florida 90% CI: 49% – 67% Δ rating 0.6
Florida is the model's favorite at 59%. Mississippi State has a 41% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Florida — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 18, 2025 · 3:15 PM CDT
- Venue
- Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No