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2025 Week 7 FINAL · Conference game

Arkansas at Tennessee

Saturday, October 11, 2025 · 3:15 PM CDT

Neyland Stadium

31
Arkansas
Final
34
Tennessee
Team 1234 T
Arkansas 107014 31
Tennessee 710107 34

GIE pre-game call: Tennessee at 78%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Arkansas
SEC
Record
2-10
Rating
5.1
National rank
53
Proj. wins
4.6
Playoff prob.
0%
Tennessee
SEC
Record
8-5
Rating
15.0
National rank
19
Proj. wins
7.3
Playoff prob.
10%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Arkansas
22%
Tennessee
78%
Tennessee 90% CI: 71% – 84% Δ rating 9.9

Tennessee is the model's favorite at 78%. Arkansas has a 22% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.2 rating points baked in for Tennessee — venue-specific learned value (n=61 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 11, 2025 · 3:15 PM CDT
Venue
Neyland Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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