Ohio: 2026 Week 12 recap

Ohio sits at 74th overall after a 1.1-point jump in its rating this week, improving to −0.4 following a 28–20 road win over Akron in Week 10. The Bobcats are 7–2 and still alive for a conference title—GIE gives them a 39% shot at winning the MAC. The offense is clicking in tight moments, posting a late-game leverage performance of 4.36, though red-zone efficiency remains a soft spot at just 24% touchdown conversion. Third-down execution sits at 39%, manageable but not elite. Miami (OH) comes to town this week as Ohio chases what could be a signature win in the playoff race. The model projects 9.1 expected wins for the season; staying on that pace through November keeps postseason hopes alive.