Indiana: 2026 Week 3 recap

Indiana sits fifth overall with a pristine 1-0 record and a GIE rating of 25.8, unchanged from last week despite the dominant 52-16 home win over North Texas in Week 1. The lopsided victory masks some underlying concerns: a red-zone TD rate of just 17.5% suggests the offense stalled in critical moments, and third-down efficiency at 48.3% indicates inconsistency between the twenties. Late-game leverage performance (4.96) shows competence when it matters most, but GIE projects just 10.3 expected wins over the full season—well short of what a top-five team typically earns. Indiana hosts Howard this week; a comfortable home matchup before the Big Ten gauntlet truly begins.