Idaho: 2026 Week 12 recap

Idaho sits at 5–5 after dismantling Eastern Washington 62–31 at home in Week 10, a statement of offensive dominance that offered brief respite in an otherwise murky season. The Vandals' rating hasn't budged enough to shift their playoff probability—they're mathematically out—but the blowout win masked deeper structural issues: a red-zone TD rate of just 14% and third-down conversion rate of 40% reveal an offense that stalls in critical moments. GIE projects them at roughly 6 expected wins, meaning they're underperforming their talent. Idaho hosts UC Davis in Week 11 needing consistency, not isolated explosions, to salvage bowl eligibility in the final stretch.