2026 Week 13 · Conference game
Miami (OH) at Western Michigan
Tuesday, November 24, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Waldo Stadium
Miami (OH)
Mid-American
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -6.0
- National rank
- 92
- Proj. wins
- 5.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Western Michigan
Mid-American
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -2.6
- National rank
- 80
- Proj. wins
- 7.9
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Miami (OH)
32%
Western Michigan
68%
Western Michigan 90% CI: 59% – 76% Δ rating 3.4
Western Michigan is the model's favorite at 68%. Miami (OH) has a 32% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Western Michigan — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Miami (OH) offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Western Michigan offense
32 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Tuesday, November 24, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Waldo Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No