2026 Week 12 · Conference game
Central Michigan at Buffalo
Tuesday, November 17, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
UB Stadium
Central Michigan
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -8.8
- National rank
- 100
- Proj. wins
- 5.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Buffalo
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -7.5
- National rank
- 95
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Central Michigan
33%
Buffalo
67%
Buffalo 90% CI: 58% – 74% Δ rating 1.3
Buffalo is the model's favorite at 67%. Central Michigan has a 33% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.2 rating points baked in for Buffalo — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Central Michigan offense
32 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Buffalo offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Tuesday, November 17, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- UB Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No