2026 Week 10 · Conference game
Buffalo at Miami (OH)
Wednesday, November 4, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Yager Stadium
Buffalo
Mid-American
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -16.1
- National rank
- 120
- Proj. wins
- 4.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Miami (OH)
Mid-American
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -6.0
- National rank
- 92
- Proj. wins
- 5.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Buffalo
19%
Miami (OH)
81%
Miami (OH) 90% CI: 74% – 86% Δ rating 10.1
Miami (OH) is the model's favorite at 81%. Buffalo has a 19% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.3 rating points baked in for Miami (OH) — venue-specific learned value (n=43 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Buffalo offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Miami (OH) offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Wednesday, November 4, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Yager Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No