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2026 Week 7 · Conference game

Western Michigan at Central Michigan

Friday, October 16, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT

Kelly/Shorts Stadium

Western Michigan
Mid-American
Record
0-0
Rating
-1.4
National rank
78
Proj. wins
6.9
Playoff prob.
0%
Central Michigan
Mid-American
Record
0-0
Rating
-8.8
National rank
100
Proj. wins
5.4
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Western Michigan
65%
Central Michigan
35%
Central Michigan 90% CI: 27% – 44% Δ rating 7.4

Western Michigan is the model's favorite at 65%. Central Michigan has a 35% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Central Michigan — venue-specific learned value (n=45 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Western Michigan offense
34 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Central Michigan offense
34 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, October 16, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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