2026 Week 5 · Conference game
Ohio at Kent State
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Dix Stadium
Ohio
Mid-American
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -12.7
- National rank
- 114
- Proj. wins
- 5.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Kent State
Mid-American
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -24.8
- National rank
- 137
- Proj. wins
- 5.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Ohio
74%
Kent State
26%
Kent State 90% CI: 20% – 34% Δ rating 12.1
Ohio is the model's favorite at 74%. Kent State has a 26% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.8 rating points baked in for Kent State — venue-specific learned value (n=38 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Ohio offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Kent State offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Heavy drizzle
Temperature
73°F
Precipitation
38%
Wind
12 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Dix Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No