2026 Week 5 · Conference game
Akron at Central Michigan
Friday, October 2, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Akron
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -13.9
- National rank
- 117
- Proj. wins
- 4.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Central Michigan
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -8.8
- National rank
- 100
- Proj. wins
- 5.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Akron
28%
Central Michigan
72%
Central Michigan 90% CI: 64% – 79% Δ rating 5.1
Central Michigan is the model's favorite at 72%. Akron has a 28% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Central Michigan — venue-specific learned value (n=45 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Akron offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Central Michigan offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 2, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Kelly/Shorts Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No