2026 Week 5 · Conference game
Akron at Central Michigan
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Akron
Mid-American
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -20.8
- National rank
- 132
- Proj. wins
- 5.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Central Michigan
Mid-American
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -14.9
- National rank
- 116
- Proj. wins
- 6.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Akron
26%
Central Michigan
74%
Central Michigan 90% CI: 67% – 81% Δ rating 5.9
Central Michigan is the model's favorite at 74%. Akron has a 26% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Central Michigan — venue-specific learned value (n=45 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Akron offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Central Michigan offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Light drizzle
Temperature
66°F
Precipitation
18%
Wind
5 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Kelly/Shorts Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No