2026 Week 3 FINAL
Ohio at South Alabama
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Hancock Whitney Stadium
36
Ohio
Final
41
South Alabama
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio | 7 | 0 | 14 | 15 | 36 |
| South Alabama | 14 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 41 |
GIE pre-game call: South Alabama at 56%. Hit.
Recaps
Ohio
Mid-American
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -12.7
- National rank
- 114
- Proj. wins
- 5.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
South Alabama
Sun Belt
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -12.1
- National rank
- 111
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Ohio
44%
South Alabama
56%
South Alabama 90% CI: 47% – 65% Δ rating 0.6
South Alabama is the model's favorite at 56%. Ohio has a 44% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.4 rating points baked in for South Alabama — venue-specific night-game value (n=33 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Hancock Whitney Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No