2026 Week 3
Ohio at South Alabama
Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Hancock Whitney Stadium
Ohio
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -4.0
- National rank
- 84
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
South Alabama
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -12.7
- National rank
- 114
- Proj. wins
- 1.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Ohio
76%
South Alabama
24%
South Alabama 90% CI: 18% – 32% Δ rating 8.7
Ohio is the model's favorite at 76%. South Alabama has a 24% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.3 rating points baked in for South Alabama — venue-specific learned value (n=33 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Ohio offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
South Alabama offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Hancock Whitney Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No