2026 Week 2
Buffalo at Florida International
Friday, September 11, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Pitbull Stadium
Buffalo
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -7.5
- National rank
- 95
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Florida International
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -10.5
- National rank
- 107
- Proj. wins
- 1.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Buffalo
56%
Florida International
44%
Florida International 90% CI: 35% – 53% Δ rating 3.0
Buffalo is the model's favorite at 56%. Florida International has a 44% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.0 rating points baked in for Florida International — venue-specific learned value (n=5 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Buffalo offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Florida International offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 11, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Pitbull Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No