2026 Week 13
Sacramento State at Hawai'i
Sunday, November 29, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Sacramento State
Mid-American
- Record
- 1-3
- Rating
- -20.9
- National rank
- 133
- Proj. wins
- 4.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Hawai'i
Mountain West
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -7.1
- National rank
- 98
- Proj. wins
- 5.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Sacramento State
9%
Hawai'i
91%
Hawai'i 90% CI: 87% – 93% Δ rating 13.8
Hawai'i is the model's favorite at 91%. Sacramento State has a 9% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.3 rating points baked in for Hawai'i — venue-specific learned value (n=26 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Sacramento State offense
33 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Hawai'i offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Sunday, November 29, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No