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2026 Week 13

Sacramento State at Hawai'i

Friday, November 27, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST

Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex

Sacramento State
Mid-American
Record
0-0
Rating
National rank
Proj. wins
8.2
Playoff prob.
0%
Hawai'i
Mountain West
Record
0-0
Rating
1.7
National rank
68
Proj. wins
8.0
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Sacramento State
50%
Hawai'i
50%
Hawai'i 90% CI: 50% – 50% Δ rating 1.7

Hawai'i is the model's favorite at 50%. Sacramento State has a 50% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.3 rating points baked in for Hawai'i — venue-specific learned value (n=26 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Sacramento State offense
33 / 100

Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup

Hawai'i offense
39 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, November 27, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Venue
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No

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