Conference game
UAB at North Texas
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
UAB 13% Underdog
North Texas 87% Favorite
North Texas is the model's favorite at 87%. UAB has a 13% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.1 rating points baked in for North Texas — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UAB offense
38 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
North Texas offense
Higher fit 48 / 100 Style-neutral matchup