2026 Week 9 · Conference game
Florida Atlantic at North Texas
Thursday, October 29, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
DATCU Stadium
Florida Atlantic
American Athletic
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -7.4
- National rank
- 100
- Proj. wins
- 6.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
North Texas
American Athletic
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -9.2
- National rank
- 105
- Proj. wins
- 5.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Florida Atlantic
57%
North Texas
43%
North Texas 90% CI: 35% – 53% Δ rating 1.8
Florida Atlantic is the model's favorite at 57%. North Texas has a 43% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.3 rating points baked in for North Texas — venue-specific night-game value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Florida Atlantic offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
North Texas offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Thursday, October 29, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- DATCU Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No