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2026 Week 9 · Conference game

Florida Atlantic at North Texas

Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT

DATCU Stadium

Florida Atlantic
American Athletic
Record
0-0
Rating
-8.7
National rank
98
Proj. wins
4.5
Playoff prob.
0%
North Texas
American Athletic
Record
0-0
Rating
13.8
National rank
22
Proj. wins
8.5
Playoff prob.
13%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Florida Atlantic
5%
North Texas
95%
North Texas 90% CI: 93% – 97% Δ rating 22.5

North Texas is the model's favorite at 95%. Florida Atlantic has a 5% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.7 rating points baked in for North Texas — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Florida Atlantic offense
38 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

North Texas offense
42 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Venue
DATCU Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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