2026 Week 8 · Conference game
North Texas at Navy
Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
North Texas
American Athletic
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -9.2
- National rank
- 105
- Proj. wins
- 5.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Navy
American Athletic
- Record
- 1-1
- Rating
- -2.3
- National rank
- 76
- Proj. wins
- 5.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
North Texas
22%
Navy
78%
Navy 90% CI: 71% – 84% Δ rating 6.9
Navy is the model's favorite at 78%. North Texas has a 22% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.2 rating points baked in for Navy — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
North Texas offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Navy offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No