2026 Week 6 · Conference game
UAB at Memphis
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
UAB
American Athletic
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -17.0
- National rank
- 123
- Proj. wins
- 4.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Memphis
American Athletic
- Record
- 3-1
- Rating
- 3.7
- National rank
- 62
- Proj. wins
- 7.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UAB
6%
Memphis
94%
Memphis 90% CI: 92% – 96% Δ rating 20.7
Memphis is the model's favorite at 94%. UAB has a 6% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.5 rating points baked in for Memphis — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UAB offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Memphis offense
47 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
52°F
Precipitation
7%
Wind
4 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No