2026 Week 6 · Conference game
UAB at Memphis
Friday, October 9, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
UAB
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -15.8
- National rank
- 125
- Proj. wins
- 3.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Memphis
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 7.6
- National rank
- 39
- Proj. wins
- 7.6
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UAB
4%
Memphis
96%
Memphis 90% CI: 94% – 97% Δ rating 23.4
Memphis is the model's favorite at 96%. UAB has a 4% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.5 rating points baked in for Memphis — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UAB offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Memphis offense
47 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 9, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No