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2026 Week 3 FINAL

Florida International at Florida Atlantic

Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC

FAU Stadium

10
Florida International
Final
16
Florida Atlantic
Team 1234 T
Florida International 0703 10
Florida Atlantic 10060 16

GIE pre-game call: Florida Atlantic at 66%. Hit.

Recaps

Florida International
Conference USA
Record
1-2
Rating
-12.3
National rank
112
Proj. wins
5.5
Playoff prob.
0%
Florida Atlantic
American Athletic
Record
2-1
Rating
-7.4
National rank
100
Proj. wins
6.6
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Florida International
34%
Florida Atlantic
66%
Florida Atlantic 90% CI: 58% – 74% Δ rating 4.9

Florida Atlantic is the model's favorite at 66%. Florida International has a 34% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.5 rating points baked in for Florida Atlantic — venue-specific night-game value (n=53 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC
Venue
FAU Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
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